Article
Why the future of work may be the most pressing issue of our time
Brave New Work Project | President’s Message
Released:June 18, 2019
Project: Brave New Work
Watch the Brave New Work conference livestream
In April, at the Public Policy Forum’s 32nd annual Testimonial Dinner, I made the case that the future of work may well be the most pressing issue of our times. We operate today within the paradox of the tightest labour markets in two generations existing alongside deep anxiety about whether people will continue to enjoy access to the kind of jobs and government backstop that provide decent wages and security.
The unbundling of tasks and benefits from jobs — and of jobs from organizations — challenges governments, employers, unions, learning institutions, NGOs and individuals themselves to think anew. Already we have felt the bumps in the road from people who feel left behind.
History shows us that the first Industrial Revolution wasn’t a smooth ride either. It featured a distressingly long period in which wages stagnated even while GDP per capita shot up. In other words, widening income inequality — with the fruits of technological progress accruing to an earlier version of the 1 percent.
Among some academics, this period is known as the Engels Pause. It gave Marx and Engels much fodder for their argument that capitalism was, to use a modern term, rigged against the working stiff. Eventually, the industrial revolution, helped by such policy changes as universal education, child labour laws and Bismarck’s social security programs spread wealth and produced a middle class. But not before communists and anarchists gained a toehold and roiled Europe for several generations.
Today’s technological revolution holds out tremendous promise.
It gives social and political voice to those previously unheard. It provides new biological treatments for serious afflictions. It creates whole new categories of jobs, such as data scientists, app developers and chief experience officers. Technology historically raises living standards and quality of life.
The trick is to make sure the opportunity side is available to all and that policy attenuates the downsides. Our decision-makers must beware that the capacity for social adaptability does not fall out of sync with the pace of innovation and economic change. As such, we urgently need to examine and modernize our public- and private-sector policy toolkits. As we learned in the 1800s and again in the mid-20th century, if policy is slow to respond, the resulting political and social damage can be long-lasting. We need to get at the universal education and child labour equivalents of today.
PPF isn’t standing still. As a think tank geared to applied policy, we have launched a massive three-year research-and-convening effort to keep apace with this difficult set of issues. We are calling our program Brave New Work: Getting Ready for Canada’s Jobs Future. Be part of it. Already, we have commissioned research studies of neglected questions, organized consultations with industry and youth groups, and are bringing together thinkers, doers and deciders to figure out the roles of responsibilities of different players. Our first two papers can be found here and here.
One of the areas we’re concentrating on is what we call “the messy middle.” However imperfect, our education system, from kindergarten to first full-time job, is just that — a system. Same with the panoply of savings and income support programs for retirement. Each of these phases features multiple programs, incentives and institutions that talk to each other. But the middle, where people in their 30s to 50s increasingly need help adjusting to change, remains relatively ad hoc and opaque. We need to turn the messy middle into a system, too.
Be part of this critical process, starting with our inaugural Brave New Work Conference on June 26 at the MaRS Discovery District in Toronto. It will bring together some of the best minds from Canada and abroad. We are preparing for a healthy clash of ideas about how the world of work is unfolding and what should be done about it. The day will include a case study from three angles of the GM closing in Oshawa. And we will release a comprehensive public opinion survey into the mindsets of the most economically anxious among us.
Watch the conference livestream
Watch the full EdTalk at the 2019 Testimonial Dinner & Awards
Reports
Automation, AI and COVID-19
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Managing Transformation in Disrupted Sectors
There are lessons to be learned from industries that have survived and thrived through disruption, as well as those that have failed to navigate industry transformation. We need to learn from the past while we look for innovative ways of working together to rebuild the economy. To achieve these goals, we need to plan for inevitable change as all sectors, no matter how resilient writes Lori Turnbull. With the right tools, workers, employers and sectors can fortify themselves in a new economy.
Navigating Precarity in Non-standard Work
An estimated 30 percent of the Canadian workforce is engaged in non-standard, precarious work, with an inability to transition to something more stable. As the labour market has been upended by the COVID-19 pandemic, now is a critical time to examine what has played an integral part in shaping the current landscape of our labour market. This paper explores policy considerations around data, benefits and alternatives to envision a future where precarity does not have to be a reality.
Improving the Linkages between University and Work
COVID-19, the skills gap and automation have all conspired to change the work landscape in Canada and post-secondary institutions must respond to those changing needs. Add to that the fact that employers have been complaining for some time that new hires don’t have the skills the workplace demands, and you have a reason to re-evaluate the way universities operate. They tend to focus on content but employers are looking for cognitive and behavioural skills over content and disciplinary knowledge.
Emerging Stronger: Addressing the Skills Under-Utilization Challenge for the Future of Work in Canada
How can Canada use its highly skilled workforce as we transition to a knowledge economy? In their new report, AJ Tibando and Arvind Gupta explore Palette Inc., a not-for-profit platform that was created to upskill diverse and non-traditional workers in an ICT sector biased against hiring them. It looks like the Palette model is working.
The Future is Now: Creating Decent Work Post-Pandemic
Artificial intelligence, advanced robotics, the sharing economy and other emerging technologies were expected to upend the nature of how people work, eliminate an array of routine and repetitive tasks, and put pressure on social support frameworks designed for a different era. These impacts expected to be felt in the near to medium term suddenly find themselves present. The need to reinvent Canada's social and economic policy frameworks has a newfound urgency.
A Place-Based Lens to the Future Of Work in Canada
An urban-rural scan of potential long-term effects of the future of work shows the negative effects of a displaced workforce will be felt disproportionately among rural residents, who make up the majority of high-risk employment sectors that will succumb to technology-induced disruption. Understanding how these changes could affect urban centres vs. rural areas is a crucial ingredient to long-term policymaking and key to creating an effective place-based policy agenda for Canada to manage those disruptions and keep an urban-rural economic divide that already exists from growing
Managing Precarious Work: Three Canadian Models for Rebalancing Bargaining Power in the Future of Work
Hear the expression “precarious employment” or the “gig economy” and you’ll almost certainly think of the Uber driver who took you to the airport last week. However, precarious employment dates back much further. This report examines three entrenched models—construction workers, those in film and theatre, and those in academia—for recommendations governments can use to address the growing challenge of gig work.
Old Gigs, New Gigs: Are Courts and Legislators Reinterpreting an Age-Old Debate for the New World of Work?
Courts and legislatures are deciding whether your Lyft driver is an independent contractor or an employee. The classification is a big deal, affecting workers' protections through to retirement. This paper surveys the current state of the gig economy and how courts, tribunals and legislatures in North America and the UK are tackling the issue of employment classification.
Automation, AI and Anxiety: Policy Preferred, Populism Possible
Who is fearful of automation and what do they want politicians to do about it? This paper finds a correlation between Canadians’ fear of job losses from automation and populist and nativist views—but also that Canadians favour traditional government policy approaches to job disruption, such as retraining, more than radical measures such as reducing immigration.
Facilitating the Future of Work Through a Modernized EI System
Gaps in Canada’s Employment Insurance program are already leaving too many workers behind as gig work, part-time jobs and self-employment grow. EI needs to be modernized now to support Canadians as they transition to an economy and labour market disrupted by technology and automation.
Skills, Training and Lifelong Learning
Training for working Canadians is scarce, and the people who most need it are the least able to get it. As global competition and technological change increase, Canada needs to create effective and inclusive systems of training, which are essential for innovation, growth, employment and good incomes. In this report, Daniel Munro looks at Canada's strengths and weaknesses, training models from around the world, and suggests improvements to lifelong learning systems.
Articles
Pandemic Learning: Paid Micro-Training Opportunities for Post-Pandemic Recovery
Broad, rapid government support received widespread support in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. Based on their public opinion research, Peter Loewen and Blake Lee-Whiting argue that Canadians, especially those who lost income or jobs during the pandemic, would be eager to receive government-assisted skills training as part of that support.
Commitment to lifelong learning is win-win for manufacturing company AVIT and its employees
A people-centric approach at AVIT Manufacturing in Peterborough, Ont. means that employees are continuously offered opportunities to upgrade their skills and learn new ones. AVIT provides a prime example showing that encouraging lifelong learning in workplaces is an asset. Read this case study by Daniel Squizzato on navigating precarity on managing transformation in disrupted sectors – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
Surviving Disruption in the Shipbuilding Industry
Irving Shipbuilding Inc. found itself in the middle of a rapidly changing shipping industry, and had to adapt to the evolving requirements of talent and infrastructure. Their grow-at-home approach may be the one to adopt in other disrupted sectors too. Read this case study by Sherry Scully on managing transformation in a disrupted sector – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
“It’s possible to make every job a good job, we just decide not to”: Lessons from the film industry for the gig economy
Millions of modest-income earners in Canada are precariously employed. The pandemic has created more unstable economic conditions than ever before--we need a plan for the future of precarious work. Read this case study by Catherine Lathem on navigating precarity in non-standard work – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
“I will have to work until the day I die”: Could portable benefits bring financial hope to essential workers caught in the messy middle of Canada’s economy?
Gig-work continues to grow in preference among workers for its flexibility, but increasing frustration surrounding the lack of benefits is proving to be an important challenge that needs to be tackled. Could portable benefits be the solution the gig-work economy needs? Read this case study by Catherine Lathem on navigating precarity in non-standard work – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
Federal program aims to support lifelong learning, but analysts call for changes
The government is looking for ways to support citizens in lifelong learning-- the Canada Training Benefit is one way of doing this. However, it may not be enough. Read this case study by Rosanna Tamburri on education innovation – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
As a means of reskilling Canada’s workforce, are microcredentials a boon—or just hype?
Microcredentials are emerging as a popular method for upskilling, but their lack of standardization, among other concerns, may impact whether or not these programs are here to stay. Read this case study by Rosanna Tamburri on education innovation – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
UHN’s Michener Institute “revolutionized” health care training. Does it hold lessons for other sectors?
The Michener Institute is the only postsecondary institution that directly works to meet the immediate needs of the healthcare system. "The Michener Model" may not only be valuable for Canada's evolving healthcare landscape, but may also have transferrable learnings for other sectors, too. Read this case study by Rosanna Tamburri on education innovation – all for PPF's Brave New Work project on the future of work.
It’s not a problem we need to solve, it’s really about good management
As the world of work continuously shifts, modernizes and innovates, what moves can be made to get and stay ahead when it comes to making work more accessible? PPF co-hosted The Future of Accessible Work panel discussion with Microsoft Canada featuring national and international accessibility leaders & advocates. This speaker series engaged PPF members to learn about accessibility and inclusion straight from the experts. To keep the conversation going and share our lessons learned, we have encapsulated five significant takeaways from the discussion.
Brave New Work Newsletter #4
In the fourth edition of our Brave New Work Newsletter: Our latest report on rebalancing bargaining power in the future of work, a panel discussion on the future of Alberta's energy sector, and two of our latest blog posts.
Stewarding AI and cultural change: It’s everybody’s business
What will it take to steward digital development and support workers and the broader public as we transition to a more automated future? Emerging leaders from the Banff Forum say the underlying principles we follow – and insist on – may make all the difference.
Moving gig work into good work: Making sense of the new legal landscape around the gig economy
The debate over the employment status of gig workers continues to play out in California legislation. What can Canadian regulators learn for our own first attempts at legislation from California’s decision to enact Assembly Bill 5?
Learning to Change: Worker Resilience and Adaptability
What does it mean to be adaptable and resilient as a worker, in the face of radical changes to work? With a focus on Alberta, emerging leaders from the Banff Forum and the City of Edmonton discussed policy lessons and policy solutions to prepare individuals and employers for workforce change.
Paycheque to Paycheque: Coping with Income Volatility as Work Changes
What can we do about workers living paycheque to paycheque, with the rise of the gig economy and future changes to work? Emerging leaders from the Banff Forum gathered and came up with a holistic set of policy measures for improving the well-being of workers and to help prevent economic marginalization as work changes.
Brave New Work Newsletter #3
In the third edition of our Brave New Work Newsletter: Five things we learned at our Brave New Work Conference, our latest report on the correlation between Canadians’ fear of job losses from automation and populist and nativist views, and a new blog post on why 'robots will replace us' thinking is not that simple - or that scary!
Robots will replace us!
The most popular way of analyzing the future of work — the labour substitution model — is far too narrow for our complex world. By looking at three other dimensions of change, we can better understand, and prepare for, tomorrow’s opportunities.
Five big things we learned at the Brave New Work Conference
The prospect of losing our jobs to automation may keep us up at night and change our politics, but there are other factors at play, too. Here are five key challenges and some smart policy responses that emerged at the inaugural Brave New Work Conference.
Report Preview: Do Canadians’ fears about automation push them to populism?
In an upcoming report for PPF’s Brave New Work project, Peter Loewen and Benjamin Allen Stevens find a correlation between Canadians’ fear of job losses from automation and populist and nativist views—but also that they favour traditional government policy approaches to job disruption, such as retraining, more than radical measures such as reducing immigration.
The future of work is a gender equity issue
Job displacement could disproportionately push women out of the workforce in Canada's jobs future. Women fill many of the lower-paid, often precarious jobs and if contingent work becomes more common it will entirely disrupt the notion of a career ladder - and leadership positions are already dominated by men.
Brave New Work Newsletter #2
In this second newsletter: New report on big gaps in Employment Insurance, emerging leaders share principles for inclusion that we should all follow, and we learn how disrupting the career ladder creates challenges to gender equity.
How do we build an inclusive future of work?
Emerging leaders from the Banff Forum gathered to discuss: Who is missing from Canadians' dialogue about our brave new world of work? They came up with a clear set of guiding principles and recommendations for policymakers.
Brave New Work Newsletter #1
In this first edition of our Brave New Work Newsletter: A new report on the strengths and weaknesses of Canada's training systems, what Canada’s associations see trending in the future of work, and students imagine how Canadians would learn if universities and colleges no longer existed.
Canada’s Associations See What’s Trending in the Future of Work
From new ways of approaching lifelong learning to recognizing that technology is not the only driver of workplace change, representatives of Canadian associations shared their perspectives on the changing nature of work and how workers and employers are affected.
Using Foresight to Explore the Future of Work
What happens when university students imagine how they would learn if universities and colleges no longer existed? As part of PPF’s Brave New Work project, we invited students from the Arthur Kroeger College of Public Affairs at Carleton University to do a foresight exercise on the future of learning, skills and access. They had some fascinating ideas.
Three ways to reduce anxiety about the future of work
Rapid change in how we work can stoke fears of a jobless future, but these key policy changes can help turn anxiety into opportunity.
Events
What We Learned: Brave New Work Round Up
PPF's flagship Brave New Work project is wrapping up by rounding up the perspectives and insights of over 20 of the people who contributed to the project over the years. We ask them what they learned about the future of work, and what they recommend needs to be done next.
Past Event
Turning Point 2020: When the Future of Work Became the Present
When we look back on 2020, we’ll see a turning point, but right now the destination is unclear. This free, 3-part virtual conference on the future of work in Canada was held on June 16, 17, & 18th, 2020.
Past Event
Work in Progress: Why jobs are changing and where are the opportunities for all?
And why are jobs changing? Join the Indigenomics Institute's Carol Ann Hilton and Microsoft's Edoardo de Martin for a dialogue facilitated by SFU's Mark Winston on June 14 in Vancouver.
Past Event
Brave New Work Conference
Technology, demographics and other factors are transforming the world of work – and quickly. Push aside the dystopian scenarios and watch this discussion that helped shape policy pathways to enable Canadians to thrive in the jobs of the future.
News
Public Policy Forum and TD Bank Group announce multi-year Future of Work strategic partnership
During the April 12 Testimonial Dinner, TD Bank Group's Norie Campbell announced a three-year initiative with PPF to advance a pan-Canadian policy dialogue on the changing nature of work.
